While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. Continue with Recommended Cookies. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. You have to beware with these reports, though. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Is Wisconsin a red state? Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. . It is not a red state. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. 2020 Electoral Map Results. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? State voted with the overall winning candidate. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Same for GA senate races Charlie. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Here's the count: 2020: US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. But. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Iapologize.). Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. If . Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. There was an error processing your request. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. 4, another 2020 red state. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. In September, just eight states had. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. These are general election results for the years listed. We may not know results in PA fordays. Special elections, if any, are excluded. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Is Missouri a red state? For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. More than a . While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. What determines a state's "color"? This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. And West Virginia is losing. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. #V. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) But I've got news for them, too. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. All Rights Reserved. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw.
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